The US’s bird’s-eye-view outlook of world affairs has made PM Ecevit’s Washington visit an unexpected success of universal importance for Turkey. The formation of G-20 and Turkey’s inclusion was certainly a great realism for American diplomacy and a practical solution concerning the controversy over Turkey’s full membership to the EU. This achievement was recorded despite the existing, if not widening, policy differences of the two countries on international issues such as Cyprus, Saddam, the Caucuses, and the Middle East.
TURKPULSE No:2 TURKEY AIMS TO PLAY A PIVOTAL ROLE IN EURASIA
The biggest question about Turkey’s plans to play a pivotal role in Eurasia is the superpower struggle in this region. Most people believe that Russia is no longer a superpower, but the Dagestan and Chechen events proved last week that, superpower or not, the Russian Federation is still a great power to reckon with especially in Turkey’s plans for a pivotal role in Eurasia. PM Ecevit’s scheduled visit to Moscow within a few weeks may be a milestone in shaping Ankara’s plans for the new "Eurasian Order" in the new millennium. Ankara’s plans for Eurasia are far from bring free of serious difficulties and pitfalls.
TURKPULSE No:3
WHAT WILL STABILITY BRING TO TURKEY?
Political stability has been achieved in Turkey after two decades of strenuous efforts. Is this stability durable? What is in store for this stability in the future? Everything revolves around foreign policy developments and security arrangements. A top commander’s unequivocal statement sheds light on what Turkey should expect if political stability is to continue.
TURKPULSE No:4 MILITARY TAKE-OVER IN PAKISTAN - A step towards secularism in
the international arena?
The military coup in Pakistan bears signs of a very important international movement concerning the future of political developments in Asia. Turkey, which has been through three such military interventions in the post war period, may set an example to Pakistan in its fourth coup since its independence. The Wahabi threat to the Islamic countries of Asia will, therefore, be replaced by Turkey’s example of secularism, if the Pakistan coup advances at the right direction.
Natural gas has overshadowed oil in Turkey’s energy strategy and involves radical foreign policy readjustments. The Baku-Ceyhan oil pipeline is still one of Turkey’s priority projects that will affect the region’s international developments - the Caucuses and the Middle East. In the 20th century the Arab world’s Middle East oil was the determining factor in shaping international events and even wars. Will Central Asia’s natural gas be the determining factor in the 21st century and will the Turks be more successful than the Arabs in not falling into capitalism’s traps and intrigues? There is reason to believe that the Turkish world in the new century will be much more successful in its natural gas strategies than the feuding Arab world has been about oil in the outgoing century.
The anti-gas lobby has recently launched an offensive in the media against the Ecevit Government’s energy plans and projections. They feverishly try to prevent the finalisation of the Blue Stream pipeline, but it is already too late as the first payment of $55 million has been made to the contracting company. President Clinton has to make a choice about joining in Turkey’s energy projects for the new millennium rather than obstruct some of them. Indications are that American realism will eventually come round to that point before long when it will be plain sailing for Turkey to overcome its current economic problems. Some water may have to run under the bridge before that point is reached though.