TURKPULSE No: 73-76................................................... JULY 2002

TURKPULSE No:73 SILENT REVOLUTION IN TURKEY FOR EU ACCESSION

The mass resignations from the DSP with the possibility of putting an end to the |tripartite Ecevit coalition may paradoxically eliminate the bottleneck, the MHP hurdle, for the EU accession. The developments brought Ecevit and Bahceli closer, but Mesut Yilmaz’s pro-EU accession is gaining momentum. The possible way out of the current political crisis is an early election government under, it does not matter whom, with a single item on its agenda – the bills to conform to the Copenhagen criteria. Meantime Turkey has already covered a long way in conforming to the EU rules in all fields. The secretary general of the EU affairs, Ambassador Volkan Vural says a silent revolution has been achieved on the way to EU accession in the past 15 months and Turkey has already passed the point of no return.

TURKPULSE No:74 PM ECEVIT FIGHTS FOR SURVIVAL OF GOVERNMENT

PM Ecevit has stolen a march over his opponents twice and is fighting a pitched battle now to survive, in critical health and at the rather advanced age of 77. His adversaries are in the offensive and constantly gaining ground with non-stop, but slowing-down resignations from his party, the DSP. At the time of writing this article his party’s seats in parliament had fallen from 128 to 82 and resignations were continuing. However, he still had a margin of 12 seats, along with his coalition partners, to fall below 276, the majority of the plenary session. Even if that happens there are still 13 vacant seats in Parliament, which enables him and his allies to continue with the fight, because, under the Constitution and the Standing Orders of Parliament, it is the opposition’s responsibility to find the 276 to topple the government with a censure motion and not the government’s. Below is the interesting story of this unprecedented event which government circles call the “plot of profiteering circles”.

TURKPULSE No:75 EARLY ELECTIONS UNDER ECEVIT GOVERNMENT

PM Ecevit has failed in his ambition to continue with the present government until April 2004 in view of the mass resignations from his party, but he is sure to frustrate the manoeuvres to remove him from power. He will also stand fast at the head of his party through the election period until November 6th. What impact it will have on the election returns remains to be seen, but important consequences are sure to emerge from the tripartite coalition’s achievement to stand at the elections in a united front, pushing through an economic recovery program and vitally important arrangements for EU accession.

TURKPULSE No:76 NOTHING NEW ABOUT THE NEW TURKEY PARTY

There is absolutely nothing new about the DSP’s splintering group led by Ismail Cem, which has unbelievably called itself the New Turkey Party and taken over a stolen logo. All its 60 odd founders were DSP parliamentarians only until yesterday and the only person new in it, Kemal Dervis, is still wavering about what to do miles away from home. Even if he eventually chooses to join this meaningless gathering which will be a pity for his own political career and more truly for the election chances of the CHP that may well fall below the 10% threshold due to Dervis’s splintering the new votes, it will still not be able to save the NTP. The following are the unbelievable mistakes the splintering group members have made in Turkish politics in such a short time in a critical election period.

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